“Extended Analysis of Adaptive Asset Allocation: Out-of-Sample Results from 2015-2023

“Extended Analysis of Adaptive Asset Allocation: Out-of-Sample Results from 2015-2023

[This article was first published on R on FOSS Trading, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers]. (You can report issue about the content on this page here)


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don’t.

This post extends the replication from the Adaptive Asset Allocation Replication
post by running the
analysis on OOS (out-of-sample) data from 2015 through 2023. Thanks to
Dale Rosenthal for helpful comments.

The paper uses the 5 portfolios below. Each section of this post will
give a short description of the portfolio construction and then focus on
comparing the OOS results with the replicated and original results. See
the other post for details on the data and portfolio construction
methodologies.

  1. Equal weight of all asset classes
  2. Equal risk contribution of all asset classes
  3. Equal weight of highest momentum asset classes
  4. Equal risk contribution of highest momentum asset classes
  5. Minimum variance of highest momentum asset classes

The table below summarizes the date ranges for each sample period in
this post.

Period Date Range
Replication Feb 1996 – Dec 2014
OOS Jan 2015 – Dec 2023
2015-2021 Jan 2015 – Dec 2021
Full Feb 1996 – Dec 2023

1. Equal weight portfolio of all asset classes

This portfolio assumes no knowledge of expected relative asset class
performance, risk, or correlation. It holds each asset class in equal
weight and is rebalanced monthly.

rr_equal_weight <- as.xts(apply(returns["/2014"], 1, mean))
ro_equal_weight <- as.xts(apply(returns["2015/"], 1, mean))
rf_equal_weight <- as.xts(apply(returns, 1, mean))

monthly_returns <-
  merge(Replication = to_monthly_returns(rr_equal_weight),
        OOS = to_monthly_returns(ro_equal_weight),
        "2015-2021" = to_monthly_returns(ro_equal_weight["2015/2021"]),
        Full = to_monthly_returns(rf_equal_weight),
        check.names = FALSE)

stats <- strat_summary(monthly_returns)
chart_performance(monthly_returns, "All Assets - Equal Weight")

Replication OOS 2015-2021 Full
Annualized Return 0.079 0.049 0.072 0.069
Annualized Std Dev 0.115 0.107 0.091 0.112
Annualized Sharpe (Rf=0%) 0.684 0.456 0.794 0.614
Worst Drawdown -0.377 -0.210 -0.136 -0.377

The OOS annualized return is significantly less than the prior results.
This is largely due to the -21.0% drawdown that started in 2022 and is
still ongoing. Note that the full-period results are very similar to the
replication results, though the 2022 drawdown did decrease the
annualized return by ~1%.

Note that this portfolio’s results from 2015-2021 are very similar to
the replication results through the end of 2014. That suggests the 2022
bear market is the main cause for the lower return in the OOS results.

2. Equal risk contribution using all asset classes

The next portfolio assumes the investor has some knowledge of each
asset’s risk, but still no knowledge of relative performance or
correlations. So each asset in this portfolio is given a weight
proportional to its historical relative risk, with the hope that each
asset will contribute the same amount of risk to the overall portfolio
in the future.

rr_equal_risk <- portf_equal_risk(r_rep, 120, 60)
ro_equal_risk <- portf_equal_risk(r_oos, 120, 60)
rf_equal_risk <- portf_equal_risk(r_full, 120, 60)

monthly_returns <-
  merge(Replication = to_monthly_returns(rr_equal_risk),
        OOS = to_monthly_returns(ro_equal_risk["2015/"]),
        "2015-2021" = to_monthly_returns(ro_equal_risk["2015/2021"]),
        Full = to_monthly_returns(rf_equal_risk),
        check.names = FALSE)

stats <- strat_summary(monthly_returns)
chart_performance(monthly_returns, "All Assets - Equal Risk")

Replication OOS 2015-2021 Full
Annualized Return 0.086 0.034 0.056 0.069
Annualized Std Dev 0.073 0.082 0.061 0.076
Annualized Sharpe (Rf=0%) 1.177 0.411 0.908 0.903
Worst Drawdown -0.142 -0.194 -0.071 -0.194

Like the equal weight portfolio, this portfolio’s OOS annualized return
is significantly lower than the replication results. This methodology
only slightly reduced the 2022 drawdown to -19.4% from -21.0%. The
maximum drawdown is now in 2022 instead of during the 2008 financial
crisis.

In the replication, the equal risk contribution portfolio results are
better than the equal weight portfolio, but the OOS equal risk portfolio
did not show similar improvement. Even when 2022 is excluded, the OOS
equal risk portfolio didn’t show improvement over the equal weight
portfolio.

3. Equal weight portfolio of highest momentum asset classes

The next portfolio assumes the investor has some knowledge of each
asset’s returns, but still no knowledge of risk or correlations. Asset
returns are based on 6-month momentum (approximately 120 days). Momentum
is re-estimated every month and only the top 5 assets are included in
the portfolio.

rr_momo_eq_wt <- portf_top_momentum(r_rep, 5, 120)
ro_momo_eq_wt <- portf_top_momentum(r_oos, 5, 120)
rf_momo_eq_wt <- portf_top_momentum(r_full, 5, 120)

monthly_returns <-
  merge(Replication = to_monthly_returns(rr_momo_eq_wt),
        OOS = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_eq_wt["2015/"]),
        "2015-2021" = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_eq_wt["2015/2021"]),
        Full = to_monthly_returns(rf_momo_eq_wt),
        check.names = FALSE)

stats <- strat_summary(monthly_returns)
chart_performance(monthly_returns, "Top 5 Momentum Assets - Equal Weight")

Replication OOS 2015-2021 Full
Annualized Return 0.142 0.051 0.081 0.112
Annualized Std Dev 0.114 0.104 0.092 0.111
Annualized Sharpe (Rf=0%) 1.243 0.488 0.884 1.001
Worst Drawdown -0.199 -0.213 -0.114 -0.213

Again, the OOS annualized return is significantly worse than the
replicated results. The OOS results for this portfolio show improvement
in the Sharpe Ratio versus the equal risk contribution portfolio (2).
The replicated results for this portfolio showed similar improvements
versus portfolio (2).

In the replication, equal weight momentum results are better than the
equal risk portfolio. But the OOS equal weight momentum portfolio did
not show significant improvement versus the equal risk portfolio (2),
and is roughly the same as the equal weight portfolio (1).

4. Equal risk contribution portfolio of highest momentum asset classes

The previous two portfolios estimated asset weights using either
risk-based or momentum-based weights. This next portfolio combines
estimates of momentum-based performance and accounts for asset class
risk differences. It includes the top 5 asset classes based on 6-month
returns and weights them using the same equal risk contribution method
as portfolio (2).

rr_momo_eq_risk <- portf_top_momentum_equal_risk(r_rep, 5, 120, 60)
ro_momo_eq_risk <- portf_top_momentum_equal_risk(r_oos, 5, 120, 60)
rf_momo_eq_risk <- portf_top_momentum_equal_risk(r_full, 5, 120, 60)

monthly_returns <-
  merge(Replication = to_monthly_returns(rr_momo_eq_risk),
        OOS = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_eq_risk["2015/"]),
        "2015-2021" = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_eq_risk["2015/2021"]),
        Full = to_monthly_returns(rf_momo_eq_risk),
        check.names = FALSE)


stats <- strat_summary(monthly_returns)
chart_performance(monthly_returns, "Top 5 Momentum Assets - Equal Risk")

Replication OOS 2015-2021 Full
Annualized Return 0.137 0.050 0.081 0.108
Annualized Std Dev 0.102 0.095 0.081 0.100
Annualized Sharpe (Rf=0%) 1.335 0.528 0.991 1.076
Worst Drawdown -0.119 -0.204 -0.086 -0.204

It’s clear that the major cause of the poorer OOS performance of this
portfolio is due to how it handled the 2022 bear market. This portfolio
handled the 2008 financial crisis very well, but it offered almost no
protection in 2022. This indicates there was a fundamental difference in
2008 versus 2022 in the asset classes held by this portfolio.

Similar to the replicated results, the reduction in risk is the main
benefit of this portfolio versus the equal weight momentum portfolio
(3). That said, the OOS performance of this portfolio only showed
marginal improvement versus portfolio (3). Even more notable, this
portfolio didn’t improve returns versus the simple equal weight
portfolio (1) during the OOS period like it did for the replication
period.

5. Minimum variance portfolio of highest momentum asset classes

The final portfolio takes the above concepts and adds correlation
estimates to the portfolio optimization. The previous portfolios only
accounted for the relative risk between the asset classes, but not the
correlation between the assets’ returns. This portfolio accounts for the
correlations between asset classes by finding the minimum variance
portfolio.

rr_momo_min_var <- portf_top_momentum_min_var(r_rep, 5, 120, 60)
ro_momo_min_var <- portf_top_momentum_min_var(r_oos, 5, 120, 60)
rf_momo_min_var <- portf_top_momentum_min_var(r_full, 5, 120, 60)

monthly_returns <-
  merge(Replication = to_monthly_returns(rr_momo_min_var),
        OOS = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_min_var["2015/"]),
        "2015-2021" = to_monthly_returns(ro_momo_min_var["2015/2021"]),
        Full = to_monthly_returns(rf_momo_min_var),
        check.names = FALSE)

stats <- strat_summary(monthly_returns)
chart_performance(monthly_returns, "Above Average 6mo Momentum - Min Var")

Replication OOS 2015-2021 Full
Annualized Return 0.137 0.054 0.086 0.109
Annualized Std Dev 0.103 0.094 0.084 0.100
Annualized Sharpe (Rf=0%) 1.330 0.568 1.025 1.086
Worst Drawdown -0.102 -0.190 -0.080 -0.190

Recall that the original results for portfolio (5) showed improved
return and lower maximum drawdown versus portfolio (4), while the
replicated results were almost the same for both portfolios. The OOS
results for these two portfolios are also very similar. In the 2015-2021
period, portfolio (5) has a slightly higher return and Sharpe ratio and
lower max drawdown than portfolio (4).

Conclusion

For all 5 portfolios, the OOS results are not as good as the replicated
results. This is largely due to the 2022 bear market, but the 2015-2021
results still aren’t as good as the replicated results.

Allocate
Smartly

has a great post about 2022 bear market performance of tactical asset
allocation (TAA) strategies like this one. They find that TAA strategies
did poorly in the 2022 bear market if they assumed intermediate and
long-term bonds provide diversification from risky assets. Both risk
assets and longer duration bonds performed poorly in 2022, and the
correlation between bonds and equities was positive instead of negative
like they have been historically.

In a future post, I may investigate how these portfolios would have
performed if they were allowed to allocate to short-term Treasuries.

Portfolio Results by Sample Period

This section contains tables with results for all portfolios in a
particular sample period.

Replication Period
Equal Weight Equal Risk Momo Eq Weight Momo Eq Risk Momo Min Var
Ann. Return 0.079 0.086 0.142 0.137 0.137
Ann. Std Dev 0.115 0.073 0.114 0.102 0.103
Ann. Sharpe 0.684 1.177 1.243 1.335 1.330
Max Drawdown -0.377 -0.142 -0.199 -0.119 -0.102
Out-of-Sample: 2015-2023
Equal Weight Equal Risk Momo Eq Weight Momo Eq Risk Momo Min Var
Ann. Return 0.049 0.034 0.051 0.050 0.054
Ann. Std Dev 0.107 0.082 0.104 0.095 0.094
Ann. Sharpe 0.456 0.411 0.488 0.528 0.568
Max Drawdown -0.210 -0.194 -0.213 -0.204 -0.190
Out-of-Sample: 2015-2021
Equal Weight Equal Risk Momo Eq Weight Momo Eq Risk Momo Min Var
Ann. Return 0.072 0.056 0.081 0.081 0.086
Ann. Std Dev 0.091 0.061 0.092 0.081 0.084
Ann. Sharpe 0.794 0.908 0.884 0.991 1.025
Max Drawdown -0.136 -0.071 -0.114 -0.086 -0.080
To leave a comment for the author, please follow the link and comment on their blog: R on FOSS Trading.

R-bloggers.com offers daily e-mail updates about R news and tutorials about learning R and many other topics. Click here if you’re looking to post or find an R/data-science job.


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don’t.

Continue reading: Adaptive Asset Allocation Extended

Extended Analysis of Adaptive Asset Allocation

This blog post aims to extend an understanding of the Adaptive Asset Allocation Replication by critically examining Out-of-Sample (OOS) data analysis from 2015 through 2023. The OOS data analysis was directed towards five portfolio methodologies:

  • Equal weight of all asset classes
  • Equal risk contribution of all asset classes
  • Equal weight of highest momentum asset classes
  • Equal risk contribution of highest momentum asset classes
  • Minimum variance of highest momentum asset classes

An essential finding across all these portfolios was that the OOS results were generally less successful than the earlier replicated results. The significant market dip in 2022 particularly contributed to this. The OOS performance also indicated that the foreseeability of future events was notably diminished, particularly regarding knowing which assets would experience pronounced fluctuations.

Implications and Future Developments

The findings by this analysis have several implications for Adaptive Asset Allocation. This method of investment, while showing success in equalizing risk across various asset classes during a more favorable market period, proved less successful during periods of turbulent market activity such as the 2022 bear market.

The OOS data suggests the need for improved forecast models that can better account for major unexpected events such as extreme market dips. The portfolios’ performance was strongly impacted by not foreseeing the 2022 bear market, affirming the importance of developing more refined risk management strategies.

In future developments, incorporating a more nuanced understanding of correlations between different assets and making better provisions for diversification may help insulate against future unforeseen economic downturns.

Actionable Advice

Based on the findings, investors implementing adaptive asset allocation could consider the following for better portfolio performance:

  1. Incorporate a more conservative risk model while considering potential market downturns. This may mean accepting a lower return in exchange for more stability during adverse market conditions.
  2. Include more diverse asset classes in their portfolio, including those likely to perform counter-cyclically during a downturn.
  3. Rebalance the portfolio more frequently as a responsive move to potential market changes.

In conclusion, while Adaptive Asset Allocation can deliver impressive results in a stable market environment, it requires advanced forecasting models and risk diversification to improve its performance, particularly during an unfavourable economic scenario.

Read the original article

“Exploring ‘Not-So-Basic’ Base R Functions: Invisible, Noquote, Cop

“Exploring ‘Not-So-Basic’ Base R Functions: Invisible, Noquote, Cop

[This article was first published on %>% dreams, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers]. (You can report issue about the content on this page here)


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don’t.



A crop of Leonetto Cappiello, Benedictine, showing a man holding a lantern over a city.

Leonetto Cappiello, Benedictine

R is known for its versatility and extensive collection of packages. As of the publishing of this post, there are over 23 thousand packages on R-universe. But what if I told you that you could do some pretty amazing things without loading any packages at all?

There’s a lot of love for base R, and I am excited to pile on. In this blog post, we will explore a few of my favorite “not-so-basic” (i.e., maybe new to you!) base R functions. Click ‘Run code’ in order to see them in action, made possible by webR and the quarto-webr extension!1

Note

This post includes examples from the base, graphics, datasets, and stats packages, which are automatically loaded when you open R. Additional base R packages include grDevices, utils, and methods.2

  1. invisible(): Return an invisible copy of an object
  2. noquote(): Print a character string without quotes
  3. coplot(): Visualize interactions
  4. nzchar(): Find out if elements of a character vector are non-empty strings
  5. with(): Evaluate an expression in a data environment
  6. Null coalescing operator %||%: Return first input if not NULL, otherwise return second input

1. invisible

The invisible() function “returns a temporarily invisible copy of an object” by hiding the output of a function in the console. When you wrap a function in invisible(), it will execute normally and can be assigned to a variable or used in other operations, but the result isn’t printed out.

Below are examples where the functions return their argument x, but one does so invisibly.



The way to see invisible output is by saving to a variable or running print(). Both of the below will print:


Let’s try another example. Run the chunk below to install the purrr and tidytab packages. Installing the CRAN version of purrr from the webR binary repository is as easy as calling webr::install(). The tidytab package is compiled into a WebAssembly binary on R-universe and needs the repos argument to find it. mount = FALSE is due to a bug in the Firefox WebAssembly interpreter. If you’re not using Firefox, then I suggest you try the code below with mount = TRUE! (Note: this might take a few seconds, and longer with mount = FALSE.)


Using purrr and tidytab::tab2() together results in two NULL list items we do not need.


Running invisible() eliminates that!


When writing a function, R can print a lot of stuff implicitly. Using invisible(), you can return results while controlling what is displayed to a user, avoiding cluttering the console with intermediate results.

Per the Tidyverse design guide, “if a function is called primarily for its side-effects, it should invisibly return a useful output.” In fact, many of your favorite functions use invisible(), such as readr::write_csv(), which invisibly returns the saved data frame.

2. noquote

The noquote() function “prints character strings without quotes.”



I use noquote() in a function url_make that converts Markdown reference-style links into HTML links. The input is a character string of a Markdown reference-style link mdUrl and the output is the HTML version of that URL. With noquote(), I can paste the output directly in my text.


Try it out in an anonymous function below!

Learn more about this syntax in my previous blog post!



3. coplot

The coplot() function creates conditioning plots, which are helpful in multivariate analysis. They allow you to explore pairs of variables conditioned on a third so you can understand how relationships change across different conditions.

The syntax of coplot() is coplot(y ~ x | a, data), where y and x are the variables you want to plot, a is the conditioning variable, and data is the data frame. The variables provided to coplot() can be either numeric or factors.

Using the built-in quakes dataset, let’s look at the relationship between the latitude (lat) and the longitude (long) and how it varies depending on the depth in km of seismic events (depth).


To interpret this plot:

  • Latitude is plotted on the y-axis
  • Longitude is plotted on the x-axis
  • The six plots show the relationship of these two variables for different values of depth
  • The bar plot at the top indicates the range of depth values for each of the plots
  • The plots in the lower left have the lowest range of depth values and the plots in the top right have the highest range of depth values

The orientation of plots might not be the most intuitive. Set rows = 1 to make the coplot easier to read.


Here, you can see how the area of Fiji earthquakes grows smaller with increasing depth.

You can also condition on two variables with the syntax coplot(y ~ x| a * b), where the plots of y versus x are produced conditional on the two variables a and b. Below, the coplot shows the relationship with depth from left to right and the relationship with magnitude (mag) from top to bottom. Check out a more in-depth explanation of this plot on StackOverflow.


I first learned about coplot() thanks to Eric Leung’s tweet. Thanks, Eric!



4. nzchar

From the documentation, “nzchar() is a fast way to find out if elements of a character vector are non-empty strings”. It returns TRUE for non-empty strings and FALSE for empty strings. This function is particularly helpful when working with environment variables - see an example in the tuber documentation!



I have written about nzchar in the past and I’ve also explained how to create a GIF using asciicast!



5. with

If you use base R, you’ve likely encountered the dollar sign $ when evaluating expressions with variables from a data frame. The with() function lets you reference columns directly, eliminating the need to repeat the data frame name multiple times. This makes your code more concise and easier to read.

So, instead of writing plot(mtcars$hp, mtcars$mpg), you can write:


This is particularly handy to use with the base R pipe |>:


Michael Love’s Tweet shows how to connect a dplyr chain to a base plot function using with():



6. lengths

lengths() is a more efficient version of sapply(df, length). length() determines the number of elements in an object, and lengths() will provide the lengths of elements across columns in the data frame.


Pretty straightforward but I think it is a neat function 🙂

7. Null-coalescing operator in R, %||%

OK, this one isn’t in base R – yet! In the upcoming release, R will automatically provide the null-coalescing operator, %||%. Per the release notes:

‘L %||% R’ newly in base is an expressive idiom for the ‘if(!is.null(L)) L else R’ or ‘if(is.null(L)) R else L’ phrases.

Or, in code:

`%||%` <- function(x, y) {
   if (is_null(x)) y else x
}

Essentially, this means: if the first (left-hand) input x is NULL, return y. If x is not NULL, return the input.

It was great to see Jenny Bryan and the R community celebrate the formal inclusion of the null-coalescing operator into the R language on Mastodon. The null-coalescing operator is particularly useful for R package developers, as highlighted by Jenny in her useR! 2018 keynote, used when the tidyverse team needs to assess whether an argument has been supplied, or if the default value which is commonly NULL has been passed, meaning that the default argument has been supplied.

Jenny Bryan's Code smell and feels talk, showing the slide showing an example of the use of the null-coalescing operator.

Jenny Bryan’s Code smell and feels null-coalescing operator example

However, the null-coalescing operator can also be useful in interactive use, for functions that take NULL as a valid argument. In this case, if supplied in the argument itself it can yield different interesting behaviors. For example:


There’s more discussion about the utility of the function.

The fun-ctions never stop

Want even more functions (base R or not)? Here are some other resources to check out:

Thanks to all community members sharing their code and functions!

Footnotes

  1. Many thanks to the following resources for making this post possible:

    ↩

  2. This is a handy guide for seeing the packages loaded in your R session!↩

To leave a comment for the author, please follow the link and comment on their blog: %>% dreams.

R-bloggers.com offers daily e-mail updates about R news and tutorials about learning R and many other topics. Click here if you're looking to post or find an R/data-science job.


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don't.

Continue reading: Six not-so-basic base R functions

Review and Analysis of R Programming's Base Functions

R programming, popular for its extensive array of packages — over 23,000 in the R-universe — surprisingly also offers the ability to perform amazing tasks even without loading a single package. The focus of this article is thus the less-discussed but highly significant Base R functions. Some of the 'not-so-basic' functions that will be discussed include: invisible(), noquote(), coplot(), nzchar(), with(), and the Null coalescing operator %||%.

Overview of Base R Functions

Before delving into the specifics, it's crucial to note that the examples used in this analysis cover the Base, Graphics, Datasets, and Stats packages — automatically loaded when you open R. Other additional base R packages consist of grDevices, utils, and methods.

  • invisible(): Returns an invisible copy of an object
  • noquote(): Prints a character string without quotes
  • coplot(): Enables visualization of interactions
  • nzchar(): Determines if elements of a character vector are non-empty strings
  • with(): Evaluates an expression in a data environment
  • Null coalescing operator %||%: Returns the first input if it's not NULL; otherwise, it returns the second input

The Noteworthy ‘Invisible’ Function

A unique base R function is invisible(). This function conceals the output of a function in the console while allowing it to execute normally. Even though the result isn’t printed out, it can still be assigned to a variable or used in other operations. This function is crucial when clarity and cleanliness of output are required.

Future Implications and Advice

The utilization of R's base functions is a testament to its power and versatility beyond the use of packages. These basic functions facilitate efficient coding for data manipulation and analysis tasks, reducing coder reliance on packages and ultimately promoting understanding of core concepts.

Learning these functions opens up a universe of possibilities for users — they can script even without internet connectivity or package access. Practicing with these functions consistently will improve understanding, fluency, and efficiency in coding with R.

For future developments, strengthening the capabilities of the base functions could be an area to consider. With boosted performance, the use of additional resources can be minimized. Meanwhile, developers of R programming might explore ways of making other data manipulation tasks achievable through base functions to reduce dependence on external libraries.

Actionable Advice

  1. Try incorporating more base R functions into your workflow. They not only lessen dependence on packages but also optimize your program’s efficiency.
  2. Consistently practice these functions to enhance your efficiency in coding with R.
  3. Stay updated with new developments in R-base functions — evolving techniques and uses could provide you with even more powerful tools for data analysis.

Read the original article

Title: The Role of a Generative AI Developer: Essential Tools, Steps, and Python DataFrame Library

Title: The Role of a Generative AI Developer: Essential Tools, Steps, and Python DataFrame Library

This week on KDnuggets: We cover what a generative AI developer does, what tools you need to master, and how to get started • An in-depth analysis of Python DataFrame library syntax, speed, and usability… which one is best? • And much, much more!

Understanding the Work of a Generative AI Developer: Top Tools and Steps to Get Started

The article highlighted the pressing need to understand the crucial role of a generative AI developer in today’s world of technology. These developers specialize in generating new data instances programmatically based on pre-existing models. They leverage Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms capable of producing detailed images, music, text, and more. The skills needed for this work are increasingly critical in a multitude of fields, and they need to be carefully mastered.

Essential Tools for AI Development

The array of tools needed to navigate AI development is vast. A thorough understanding of these tools can contribute significantly towards boosting your career as a generative AI developer. Here are some key tools you may need:

  1. Python: An essential tool in the toolkit of an AI developer, Python’s simple syntax and wide range of libraries make it a popular choice.
  2. TensorFlow: A robust open-source library created by Google Brain, TensorFlow is a fundamental software for creating neural networks.
  3. Keras: This high-level neural networks API is written in Python and can run on top of TensorFlow.

Getting Started as an AI Developer

If you are just starting out as an AI developer or if you are looking to specialize in this field, follow these steps:

  1. Understand the basics: You should start by understanding the fundamentals of AI.
  2. Learn Python: Python is one of the key languages for AI development.
  3. Get Familiar with AI tools: Once you’re comfortable with Python, start learning about TensorFlow and Keras.

Python DataFrame Library: Syntax, Speed, and Usability

In-depth analysis of the Python DataFrame library explored the syntax, speed, and usability of this crucial tool. Picking the best DataFrame library can be a daunting task given the vast number of libraries available for Python.

Choosing the Right DataFrame Library

When selecting a DataFrame library, consider these essential points:

  • Syntax: The library should have a syntax that is familiar and comfortable to you.
  • Speed: The speed of the library can significantly impact the efficiency of your projects.
  • Usability: Lastly, don’t forget to pick a library that is easy to use as it will improve your productivity.

Long-term Implications and Future Developments

The increasing focus on AI suggests that the role of an AI developer, specifically those specializing in generating new data instances programmatically, is likely to become more prominent. Technological advancements are set to further empower these developers with more powerful tools to craft increasingly complex data sets.

In terms of Python DataFrame libraries, we expect to see continued development and improvement initiatives to keep up with rapidly evolving demands. Existing libraries will be upgraded, and new ones will be developed with enhanced features and functionalities for better syntax, speed, and usability.

Actionable Advice

If you’re looking to start or further your career as an AI developer, devote your time and effort towards mastering Python and key tools like TensorFlow and Keras. Start evaluating different libraries against your skillset, needs, and project requirements to pick the best DataFrame library. As AI and associated technologies continue to grow, staying up-to-date with the latest developments and tools is vital for success in this field.

Read the original article

The Universal Semantic Layer: Revolutionizing Data Analysis and Decision-Making

The Universal Semantic Layer: Revolutionizing Data Analysis and Decision-Making

Looking to understand the universal semantic layer and how it can improve your data stack? This GigaOm Sonor report on Semantic Layers can help you delve deeper.

Understanding the Universal Semantic Layer: A Key to Improved Data Stack

Before advancing towards the implications and future developments of the universal semantic layer, it’s paramount to understand what it really means. In simple terms, a semantic layer is a business representation of corporate data that helps end users access data autonomously using common business terms. It is a critical component of sophisticated business intelligence (BI) solutions.

The Importance of the Semantic Layer

A semantic layer functions as an abstraction layer that provides a gateway to view processed data from various sources in a simple and consistent manner. Remember that this technology has been introduced to cast aside the complexities associated with analyzing structured and unstructured data. It enables even common business users to understand complex database schemas and empowers them to interact with data without relying on IT experts.

Long-term Implications and Future Developments

In considering the long-term implications, the universal semantic layer will not only revolutionize the way we use and understand data but also have a far-reaching impact on business decision-making processes.

Strengthened Business Intelligence

The future of business intelligence lies with the semantic layer. As data becomes increasingly complex, extraction of key insights will hinge on our ability to effectively use this technology. Organizations are likely to become more data-driven, relying on information collated and presented through semantic layers.

Improved Efficiency and Productivity

A semantic layer eliminates the need for expert intervention for data analysis. This results in improved efficiency in decision-making processes and increased productivity, as users can independently access, interpret, and use data.

Enhanced Data Privacy and Security

The semantic layer ensures data privacy and security by allowing administrators to control who can see what data. This will become increasingly crucial as concerns over data privacy grow in the future.

Actionable Advice

  1. Invest in Training: Since the semantic layer is intended for end users, investing in training them could result in better data utilization.
  2. Embrace a Data-Driven Culture: Embrace a culture that relies on informed decision-making. Provide the necessary tools and resources to enable data accessibility and understanding for your business users.
  3. Give Importance to Data Privacy: Use the semantic layer to reinforce data privacy and security protocols. This will keep confidential business information safe while maintaining user access for day-to-day decision making.

In conclusion, the universal semantic layer holds potential to transform the way businesses operate. By freeing valuable data from technical complexities, it allows everyone within an organization to make better, data-driven decisions. As we stride into the future, it’s clear that those who adopt this technology would be the ones gaining a competitive edge.

Read the original article

“Enhancing Model Building with the .drop_na Parameter in tidyAML”

“Enhancing Model Building with the .drop_na Parameter in tidyAML”

[This article was first published on Steve's Data Tips and Tricks, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers]. (You can report issue about the content on this page here)


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don’t.

Introduction

In the newest release of tidyAML there has been an addition of a new parameter to the functions fast_classification() and fast_regression(). The parameter is .drop_na and it is a logical value that defaults to TRUE. This parameter is used to determine if the function should drop rows with missing values from the output if a model cannot be built for some reason. Let’s take a look at the function and it’s arguments.

fast_regression(
  .data,
  .rec_obj,
  .parsnip_fns = "all",
  .parsnip_eng = "all",
  .split_type = "initial_split",
  .split_args = NULL,
  .drop_na = TRUE
)

Arguments

.data – The data being passed to the function for the regression problem .rec_obj – The recipe object being passed. .parsnip_fns – The default is ‘all’ which will create all possible regression model specifications supported. .parsnip_eng – The default is ‘all’ which will create all possible regression model specifications supported. .split_type – The default is ‘initial_split’, you can pass any type of split supported by rsample .split_args – The default is NULL, when NULL then the default parameters of the split type will be executed for the rsample split type. .drop_na – The default is TRUE, which will drop all NA’s from the data.

Now let’s see this in action.

Example

We are going to use the mtcars dataset for this example. We will create a regression problem where we are trying to predict mpg using all other variables in the dataset. We will not load in all the libraries that are supported causing the function to return NULL for some models and we will set the parameter .drop_na to FALSE.

library(tidyAML)
library(tidymodels)
library(tidyverse)

tidymodels::tidymodels_prefer()

# Create regression problem
rec_obj <- recipe(mpg ~ ., data = mtcars)
frt_tbl <- fast_regression(
  mtcars,
  rec_obj,
  .parsnip_eng = c("lm","glm","gee"),
  .parsnip_fns = "linear_reg",
  .drop_na = FALSE
  )

glimpse(frt_tbl)
Rows: 3
Columns: 8
$ .model_id       <int> 1, 2, 3
$ .parsnip_engine <chr> "lm", "gee", "glm"
$ .parsnip_mode   <chr> "regression", "regression", "regression"
$ .parsnip_fns    <chr> "linear_reg", "linear_reg", "linear_reg"
$ model_spec      <list> [~NULL, ~NULL, NULL, regression, TRUE, NULL, lm, TRUE]…
$ wflw            <list> [cyl, disp, hp, drat, wt, qsec, vs, am, gear, carb, mp…
$ fitted_wflw     <list> [cyl, disp, hp, drat, wt, qsec, vs, am, gear, carb, mp…
$ pred_wflw       <list> [<tbl_df[64 x 3]>], <NULL>, [<tbl_df[64 x 3]>]
extract_wflw(frt_tbl, 1:nrow(frt_tbl))
[[1]]
══ Workflow ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Preprocessor: Recipe
Model: linear_reg()

── Preprocessor ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
0 Recipe Steps

── Model ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Linear Regression Model Specification (regression)

Computational engine: lm


[[2]]
NULL

[[3]]
══ Workflow ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Preprocessor: Recipe
Model: linear_reg()

── Preprocessor ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
0 Recipe Steps

── Model ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Linear Regression Model Specification (regression)

Computational engine: glm 

Here we can see that the function returned NULL for the gee model because we did not load in the multilevelmod library. We can also see that the function did not drop that model from the output because .drop_na was set to FALSE. Now let’s set it back to TRUE.

frt_tbl <- fast_regression(
  mtcars,
  rec_obj,
  .parsnip_eng = c("lm","glm","gee"),
  .parsnip_fns = "linear_reg",
  .drop_na = TRUE
  )

glimpse(frt_tbl)
Rows: 2
Columns: 8
$ .model_id       <int> 1, 3
$ .parsnip_engine <chr> "lm", "glm"
$ .parsnip_mode   <chr> "regression", "regression"
$ .parsnip_fns    <chr> "linear_reg", "linear_reg"
$ model_spec      <list> [~NULL, ~NULL, NULL, regression, TRUE, NULL, lm, TRUE]…
$ wflw            <list> [cyl, disp, hp, drat, wt, qsec, vs, am, gear, carb, mp…
$ fitted_wflw     <list> [cyl, disp, hp, drat, wt, qsec, vs, am, gear, carb, mp…
$ pred_wflw       <list> [<tbl_df[64 x 3]>], [<tbl_df[64 x 3]>]
extract_wflw(frt_tbl, 1:nrow(frt_tbl))
[[1]]
══ Workflow ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Preprocessor: Recipe
Model: linear_reg()

── Preprocessor ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
0 Recipe Steps

── Model ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Linear Regression Model Specification (regression)

Computational engine: lm


[[2]]
══ Workflow ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Preprocessor: Recipe
Model: linear_reg()

── Preprocessor ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
0 Recipe Steps

── Model ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Linear Regression Model Specification (regression)

Computational engine: glm 

Here we can see that the gee model was dropped from the output because the function could not build the model due to the multilevelmod library not being loaded. This is a great way to drop models that cannot be built due to missing libraries or other reasons.

Conclusion

The .drop_na parameter is a great way to drop models that cannot be built due to missing libraries or other reasons. This is a great addition to the fast_classification() and fast_regression() functions.

Happy coding!

To leave a comment for the author, please follow the link and comment on their blog: Steve's Data Tips and Tricks.

R-bloggers.com offers daily e-mail updates about R news and tutorials about learning R and many other topics. Click here if you’re looking to post or find an R/data-science job.


Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don’t.

Continue reading: Using .drop_na in Fast Classification and Regression

Long-Term Implications and Future Developments of .drop_na in Fast Classification and Regression

A significant addition to tidyAML in its new release is a new parameter, .drop_na. This logical value, which defaults to TRUE, is a salient feature in the functions fast_classification() and fast_regression(). Its role is to determine whether the function should drop rows with missing values from the output if a model cannot be built.

What Will It Mean for Future Data Science?

With this update, handling missing values that might pose a problem for creating a regression or classification model becomes more straightforward. The .drop_na parameter is now an integral part of the functionality of tidyAML that makes the process of fast classification and regression even smoother.

The long-term implications are twofold:

  • It boosts efficiency by simplifying the model-building process in significant ways.
  • It improves model accuracy, since any rows with missing values that might affect the building of a model are neatly excluded from the output.

New Horizons: Handling NULL Models

In terms of possible future developments, the .drop_na parameter has opened up new avenues for data handling in R. An exciting potential development could be a modification or an extension of this parameter, allowing it to handle not just rows with NA values, but more complex data discrepancies – such as NULL models.

Actionable Advice: Leveraging This New Addition

Based on this insightful advancement, the following actions are recommended:

  1. Explore and understand: The first step is to gain understanding of how the .drop_na parameter operates. This can be achieved by experimenting with different datasets and seeing its efficacy in action.
  2. Identify cases where it can be used: Once familiar with its functionalities, identify problematic datasets where this parameter can be applied to eliminate rows with NA values.
  3. Explore potential for further development: Building on the existing parameter, data scientists should explore other potential scenarios where similar functionality can be developed, such as handling NULL models.

Note: As with all new features, it is crucial to carefully test this function within your environment and data before implementing it in production.

Read the original article

“Revolutionizing Information Interaction: The Power of Semantic Vector Search”

“Revolutionizing Information Interaction: The Power of Semantic Vector Search”

Semantic vector search is an advanced search technique revolutionizes how we interact with information by understanding the true meaning of words, thus leading to more relevant and insightful results.

Implications and Future Developments of Semantic Vector Search

Semantic vector search has transformed the relationship between users and information. Rather than searching based on keywords or phrases, this advanced technique delves deeper by understanding the full context and meaning of words. The results are more relevant, precise and insightful. This offers innumerable potential advantages in the future especially for businesses, researchers, and users alike.

Long-term Implications

Internet users around the globe produce a vast amount of data daily and the need for effective search tools is increasingly important. The depth that semantic vector search brings to content exploration can significantly refine the accuracy of search results.

“With the introduction of semantic vector search, we are now given a tool that understands the true meaning behind our words, leading to more refined search results.”

The implication of this development is far-reaching, including:

  • Improved User Experience: Users will be able to receive highly relevant search results, enhancing their browsing experience. This could lead to an increase in user engagement and higher returns for businesses relying on digital platforms.
  • Data Science Efficiencies: Scientists, researchers, and analysts who work with massive amounts of data will find it easier to extract useful insights due to this enhanced search capability.
  • Automation & Artificial Intelligence: It can also propel automation and artificial intelligence technologies resulting in increased accuracy and efficiency.

Possible Future Developments

Semantic vector search technology is still evolving. Future improvements may focus on:

  1. Better Machine Learning Models: As machine learning continues to mature, more sophisticated models could enhance the semantic understanding of text. This might result in more accurate search results.
  2. Integration with Existing Systems: Expect to see seamless integration with existing applications and platforms, making it possible for a wider audience to utilise the benefits of semantic vector search.
  3. User Training: Future efforts may also aim to train users to make the most of this new technology, through detailed guides, training sessions, and user-friendly interfaces.

Actionable Insights

Focusing on the benefits and potential future developments of semantic vector search, here are some strategic steps that could be taken:

  • Invest in Education: It’s essential to understand how semantic search works and stay updated on its continual changes. Consider investing in ongoing education and training for your team.
  • Prioritize Integration: Look for ways to integrate semantic search into your existing systems. Work with IT professionals who are experienced in machine learning to ensure smooth integration.
  • Utilize User Feedback: Continually test the implementation, collecting and studying user feedback to make necessary adjustments for improved functionality and user experience.

In conclusion, semantic vector search represents a significant shift in how we interact with information. By understanding its implications and staying ahead of future developments, businesses can better leverage this technology for success.

Read the original article